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Trump's 'America first' speech alarms U.S. allies ... Air strikes on Aleppo hospital kill doctors and children ... Three linked to San Bernardino shooter charged with fraud ... U.S. economy stalls in first quarter as activity weakens broadly ... North Korea test-fires two intermediate-range missiles, both fail: South Korea ... Warren Buffett's shareholder gala enters home stretch ... Fragile economy forces Iran's top leaders to form alliance ... U.S. senators release final sentencing reform bill ... Islamic State turns to selling fish, cars to offset oil losses: report ... Exclusive: No wall, but more high-tech gear, fencing sought by U.S. border agents ...
THE 4TH ABDULLAH BIN HAMAD AL-ATTIYAH INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AWARDS 2016
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TOP RISKS 2013


17/01/2013
By:Eurasia Group
It's 2013. We've made it. For those of us watching from the United States, the last few days of 2012 (to say nothing of the first couple of this year) were touch and go. But here we are.
 
Political risk has entered our vocabulary. Whether staring over the fiscal cliff, battling the eurozone crisis, trying to profit from a rising China, or taking cover from the Middle East; around the world, politics has come to dominate market outcomes. Geoeconomics now sits alongside geopolitics in matters of war, peace, and prosperity. Economic statecraft is a key component of global foreign policy. State capitalism is a principal challenge to the free market.
 
That's been increasingly true for the last four years because of the way perceptions of political risk have spread across the developed world. Since the financial crisis, what did or didn't happen in Washington has had an outsized impact on market outcomes. So too the reaction of European governments and pan-European political institutions to a crippling, systemic eurozone crisis. We’ve seen a succession of five governments in Japan digging out, first from the recession and then from the largest-scale natural disaster the world has seen in decades.
 

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Last Update: 17/01/2013

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