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Islamic State under pressure as Kurds take Syrian town ... U.S. economy slows in fourth quarter, but growth outlook still favorable ... Deaths shake Ukraine truce, Poroshenko wary of Russia threat ... Iran, six powers to hold nuclear talks in Switzerland on March 5: EU ... Holder says U.S. malls should 'step up' security: CNN ... Germany backs Greek extension but bailout fatigue grows ... Danish police arrest man suspected of links to February 14-15 shootings ... Decision on Ebola mass vaccination in August at earliest: WHO ... Three Ukrainian servicemen killed in past 24 hours: Kiev military ... Turkish police seal off street outside U.S. consulate, detain suspect ... U.S., Cuba to meet for second round of normalization talks ... Hong Kong woman jailed for six years for abusing Indonesian maid ... North Korea steps up verbal threats ahead of U.S.-South Korea military drills ... Ukraine sends $15 million for gas, says Russian energy minister ... U.S. calls for due process, room for Bangladesh political opposition ... Buffett, a cheerleader for America, takes his checkbook abroad ... Japan output jumps but consumers unconvinced by Bank of Japan stimulus ... Driver of truck hit by California train released from custody ... White House sees China as trump card in trade debate ... Union, Shell discuss meeting on U.S. refinery strike: sources ...
The Abdullah Bin Hamad Al-Attiyah International Energy Awards
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TOP RISKS 2013


17/01/2013
By:Eurasia Group
It's 2013. We've made it. For those of us watching from the United States, the last few days of 2012 (to say nothing of the first couple of this year) were touch and go. But here we are.
 
Political risk has entered our vocabulary. Whether staring over the fiscal cliff, battling the eurozone crisis, trying to profit from a rising China, or taking cover from the Middle East; around the world, politics has come to dominate market outcomes. Geoeconomics now sits alongside geopolitics in matters of war, peace, and prosperity. Economic statecraft is a key component of global foreign policy. State capitalism is a principal challenge to the free market.
 
That's been increasingly true for the last four years because of the way perceptions of political risk have spread across the developed world. Since the financial crisis, what did or didn't happen in Washington has had an outsized impact on market outcomes. So too the reaction of European governments and pan-European political institutions to a crippling, systemic eurozone crisis. We’ve seen a succession of five governments in Japan digging out, first from the recession and then from the largest-scale natural disaster the world has seen in decades.
 

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Last Update: 17/01/2013

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